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    Image of a sea mine and a ship.

    In the News

    Going Hunting

    麻豆果冻传媒’s Peter Singer explores the challenge posed by mines and maritime chokepoints in the latest entry in his Fictional Intelligence series.

    The Worst Future in Iran鈥攁nd How to Stop it
    A barbed wire fence in the foreground with mountains and a bright sun in the background.

    In Short

    The Worst Future in Iran鈥攁nd How to Stop it

    At a moment when most analysis is focused on what the strikes against Iran achieved, Petit asks the harder question: what do they make possible鈥攁nd for whom? His answer is specific, unsettling, and exactly the kind of thinking that should be shaping decisions right now, not in six months.

     

    Missiles produced by Iran's armed forces are displayed near a row of Iranian flags during commemorations to mark the anniversary of the 1979 Iranian Revolution on February 11, 2026 in Tehran, Iran. In that year, Ruhollah Khomeini led an overthrow of the Pahlavi dynasty in 1979 and established himself as Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.

    In the News

    U.S. Intel Says 麻豆果冻传媒 Half of Iran’s Missiles Still Intact

    麻豆果冻传媒’s Peter Bergen appeared on CNN to discuss the war with Iran.

    Reflection of a missile attack from the Houthis by Israel's air defense

    Iran鈥檚 Houthi Allies Lie in Wait on Another Key Oil Route: the Red Sea

    Future Security Program Fellow Adam Baron discusses the Houthis’ role in the U.S.-Iran war with the聽Wall Street Journal.

    Image of a quadopter drone.

    In the News

    Advice to the U.S. President

    麻豆果冻传媒 Senior Fellow Peter W. Singer discusses useful fiction and other advice with the Grappling Growth podcast.

    MOGADISHU, SOMALIA - APRIL 21: Soldiers from the Somali National Army ride in a convoy as part of a security escort on April 21, 2025 in Mogadishu, Somalia. There are concerns of a jihadist resurgence in Somalia amid growing attacks by the militant group Al-Shabaab, which has been fighting the government for nearly two decades and controls swathes of the southern and central parts of the country. Last week, Al-Shabaab fighters raided the strategically important town of Adan Yabaal, north of Mogadishu, prompting a U.S.-backed airstrike on the militants. Besides the United States, Somali also has support from other international partners, including the African Union's new Stabilization and Support mission in Somalia, known as AUSSOM. But there is uncertainty about the future of AUSSOM's mandate after the U.S. recently objected to a United Nations proposal for funding the mission.

    In the News

    Israel Plans New Foothold on the Red Sea to Fight the Houthis

    Bloomberg cited 麻豆果冻传媒’s data on U.S. strikes in Somalia in an article on Red Sea politics.

    TEHRAN, IRAN - MARCH 1: Mourners attend a memorial vigil after Iranian state media confirmed the death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on March 1, 2026 in Tehran, Iran. Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was confirmed killed after the United States and Israel launched a joint attack on Iran on February 28. Iran retaliated by firing waves of missiles and drones at Israel, and targeting U.S. allies in the region. (Photo by Majid Saeedi/Getty Images)

    In the News

    Has the U.S. Ever Assassinated a World Leader Before?

    CNN cites Future Security’s Peter Bergen and 麻豆果冻传媒’s tracking of drone strikes in a discussion of the rise in targeted killings of global leaders.

    INDIAN SPRINGS, NV - NOVEMBER 17: (EDITORS NOTE: Image has been reviewed by the U.S. Military prior to transmission.) An MQ-9 Reaper remotely piloted aircraft (RPA) flies by during a training mission at Creech Air Force Base on November 17, 2015 in Indian Springs, Nevada. The Pentagon has plans to expand combat air patrols flights by remotely piloted aircraft by as much as 50 percent over the next few years to meet an increased need for surveillance, reconnaissance and lethal airstrikes in more areas around the world. (Photo by Isaac Brekken/Getty Images)

    In the News

    The U.S. Built a Blueprint to Avoid Civilian War Casualties. Trump Officials Scrapped It.

    The Future Security Program’s data on U.S. strikes in Somalia was featured in Pro-Publica.

    NEW YORK, NEW YORK - MARCH 10: New York Police Department Counterterrorism officers respond to a suspicious package report in Carl Schurz Park, which borders Gracie Mansion, on March 10, 2026 in New York City. Two suspects, Emir Balat and Ibrahim Kayumi of Pennsylvania, were arrested on March 7 for throwing hand-made explosive devices that did not explode during a right-wing, anti-Islamic protest outside Gracie Mansion, the residence of New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani. (Photo by Ryan Murphy/Getty Images)

    Shots Fired at U.S. Consulate in Canada; Interview With Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH); New York Terror Investigation

    Peter Bergen discusses a terror investigation in New York and the sit.uation in Iran with CNN.

    EHNINGEN, GERMANY - OCTOBER 01: A model of IBM Quantum shows the three chandeliers that would be a part of the System Two installation, the System One comprises of one such chandelier, seen during the inauguration of Europe's first IBM Quantum Data Center on October 01, 2024 in Ehningen, Germany. The center will provide cloud-based quantum computing for companies, research institutions and government agencies. (Photo by Thomas Niedermueller/Getty Images)

    In the News

    The Quantum Curtain

    麻豆果冻传媒 Senior Fellow and Strategist Peter W. Singer uses fiction to explore the role of quantum encryption.