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What Violence in Somalia Says 麻豆果冻传媒 the Challenges of Peacebuilding

Somalia
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What will it take to bring peace to Somalia? How do you even begin that process?

Somalia has a complex modern history. Generations have lived through civil unrest and the very real issues of famine and drought, which have only been compounded by outside influence.

Peacebuilders, humanitarians, and development workers continue to wrestle with these issues as the decades-long conflict across Somalia ebbs and flows. But they鈥檙e not the only ones invested in forging a peaceful future for the country. Both regional and overseas governments also care deeply about Somalia鈥檚 fate, and have either directly or indirectly invested in it, with some of this work taking the form of humanitarian aid, some weapons procurement, and some military intervention.

Still, it鈥檚 this unwieldy network of support that can make peacebuilding efforts in Somalia challenging: There are just so many different factors pulling the country in so many different directions, and snagging it on sometimes competing politics.

Brittany Brown, chief of staff at the International Crisis Group, provided a broad overview of the current state of affairs in Somalia at a 麻豆果冻传媒 and Peace Direct event last week. She underlined that President Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed (a.k.a. Farmajo) is, in vital ways, a sign of hope for the country. He applied for political in the United States in the late 1980s, after having worked at the Somali embassy in Washington, D.C. He lived in the United States for years after that, seeking higher education, advocating for refugee groups, and absorbing another culture before he took office as Somalia鈥檚 Prime Minister in 2010.

And yet, despite the promise of a new era that Farmajo embodies, Somalia鈥檚 future is still uncertain due at least partly to territories held by the militant group al-Shabaab. 鈥淓verybody has been a little bit disappointed with President Farmajo,鈥 Brown said. 鈥淗e鈥檚 spent a lot of time focused on security and not as much time focused on the other things鈥攍ike empowering civil society, [supplying] good governance, providing social services鈥攖he things that actually make Somalis feel Somali, investing in things to create one country.鈥 These factors and others鈥攈igh unemployment, poverty, international influence鈥攈ave hampered the peace process, the panel explained.

Brown was joined by two other guests: Abdullahi Isse, the director of the Social-Life and Agricultural Development Organization (SADO) in Somalia, and Pauline Muchina, the public education and advocacy coordinator for the American Friends Service Committee鈥檚 Africa region, here in D.C.

Muchina, who was born in Kenya and has spent many years working in the region, underscored that while it鈥檚 important to zoom in on the root causes of conflict in Somalia, it鈥檚 just as critical not to neglect the country鈥檚 much broader history.

鈥淭he problem in Somalia didn鈥檛 start recently,鈥 Muchina explained. 鈥淭he colonialism that took place there, and then after colonialism trying to merge Puntland with Somaliland, and all the clans in different parts of Somalia trying to come together and fighting over power 鈥 Somalia was left in a very volatile situation.鈥 She continued: 鈥淏ecause different clans and different militia groups started arming themselves 鈥 they鈥檙e all heavily armed and not afraid to use their weapons to defend their interests. And then you add another component: the international community鈥檚 involvement.鈥

Part of that international dimension is the , which has created an unenviable situation for Somalia and its current administration. The United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Turkey, to name a few, have been vying for influence in Somalia due to its geographical location. As a result of the political crisis in the Gulf, Somalia is being forced to choose a side, placing it in a quagmire. Somalia has tried to maintain its sovereignty, but it鈥檚 heavily buffeted by the overtures made by other countries in the form of military and humanitarian resources.

And then there鈥檚 the United States.

The world is now dealing with war in the age of President Donald Trump. U.S. air and drone strikes are on the rise in Somalia, and there鈥檚 no sign that this will slow down any time soon. But while Trump may be escalating military action against al-Shabaab and ISIS, these belligerent tactics didn鈥檛 start with him. It鈥檚 true: Former President Barack Obama was the one to ramp up airstrikes after the Bush administration began surveillance and ground operations in March 2003. Obama was also the first one to use drones in Somalia for counterterrorism operations in 2011. Still, is this tactic getting the job done. And, more to the point, do we even know what the job is?

Last month, Trump announced the continuation of a that stressed the 鈥渦nusual and extraordinary threat to the national security and foreign policy of the United States鈥 due to the unrest in Somalia. The United States, as a result, is training troops on the ground in Somalia, a task that may go on for another . The United States is also providing robust and diverse financial to Somalia.

But these kinds of efforts have been largely overshadowed by the military action from the sky, and with good reason鈥攔eports of alleged civilian casualties, and the weak transparency around these incidents. Muchina argued that the United States needs to think long and hard about its policy regarding drones and airstrikes. In particular, she asked: 鈥淚s this morally correct? Or does it undermine [the United States鈥橾 policy of helping the world rather than killing the world?鈥

Indeed, perhaps the most important question in need of answering is how to at least weaken al-Shabaab with minimal trauma and negative repercussions for Somali society. Muchina argued that Al-Shabaab has been 鈥渉elped by the international community because every time the international community strikes a village or strikes Al-Shabaab members, they [Al-Shabaab] go back and say, 鈥楽ee, they want to kill us all,鈥 because the strikes also strike civilians.鈥

However, the jury is still out on whether the citizens of Somalia are truly against U.S. air and drone strikes. On the one hand, Brown recounted how, on a recent work trip to Somalia, she was surprised that so many civil society members supported airstrikes. She recalled, 鈥淭he amount of people who said 鈥楢l-Shabaab is a problem; please continue to try and eliminate al-Shabaab鈥 was higher than I thought.鈥 On the other hand, even those who said they鈥檙e pro-strike would follow up with, 鈥淥k, what鈥檚 next?鈥

In the same vein, Muchina pointed out that there鈥檚 an opportunity to come together as a unit鈥攖he international community, local government, and NGOs鈥攁nd work toward positively shaping the minds of young people in Somalia. In fact, this outcome ought to be top of mind: If al-Shaabab鈥檚 offerings appear better than any alternatives, then there鈥檚 little hope for effecting lasting change. 鈥淢ilitary intervention will never bring peace to Somalia. It will bring some semblance of peace鈥攂ut it will never bring full peace,鈥 Muchina argued.

So, what does violence-prevention with some longevity look like?

Peacebuilding is a layered process, and it includes the work done by the very organizations on the panel: SADO, American Friends Service Committee, International Crisis Group, and Peace Direct. More specifically, it includes conflict assessments and monitoring and evaluation metrics; it includes re-calibrating logical frameworks and tracking. Fundamentally, as all three panelists agreed, the peacebuilding process needs to be multifaceted, and there need to be many people at the negotiating table. That means intentionally including women and young people. Muchina emphasized that, 鈥淲omen have a lot of say at the family level. They鈥檙e the ones educating their children 鈥 They play a very critical role in brokering peace between the clans. Unfortunately, when it comes to peace talks, they鈥檙e not at the table.鈥

In addition, as Isse noted, 鈥渋n peacebuilding, we say there鈥檚 no one prescription for all problems 鈥 The role of civil society and local people is very important.鈥 That鈥檚 because locals are more familiar with their own problems, and tend to have a better sense of what solutions may be most effective. Some observers have even argued that militants should play a role in the peace process, something the United States, among others, has struggled to embrace for various reasons. Even so, at the end of the day, the federalist states of Somalia will have to decide what works best for their constituencies鈥攁nd the rest of the world will have to find a way to bring its own interests in line.

More 麻豆果冻传媒 the Authors

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Melissa Salyk-Virk

Fellow, Future Security

Programs/Projects/Initiatives

What Violence in Somalia Says 麻豆果冻传媒 the Challenges of Peacebuilding