麻豆果冻传媒

In Short

The Cashless Future

Since at least 1996, when James Gleick wrote 鈥淭he End of Cash鈥 in the New York Times Magazine, there have been predictions, premonitions, and warnings about an approaching cashless world. Last week, as part of the Slate series 鈥淭he Cashless Society,鈥 Katy Waldman about how that world might affect crime.

Waldman points out that since cash can鈥檛 be tracked, like 鈥済asoline in a getaway car,鈥 it 鈥渇uels all kinds of black market activities.鈥 The government may lose 400 billion dollars in tax revenue annually due to unreported cash payments, she notes. And she quotes Harvard professor Raj Chetty: 鈥淭he hypothesis that a cashless economy would make crime and under-the-table dealing more difficult is almost certainly true.鈥 However, she also showcases a number of other ideas. For one, she suggests that 鈥渟tored value cards鈥 may be put to illegal use in lieu of cash. In Latin America some of these cards on not bank-account linked, and thus, 鈥渁re much harder to track.鈥

The other arguments: gems and precious metal would also be used as substitutes for cash in criminal activities; a cashless society may increase financial crime鈥攄espite the fact that it would be easier to police鈥攂ecause electronic money is easier to move; and hackers would prefer a world with more electronic money. (鈥淪o while a cashless society might in fact promote black market business, that business would be more visible and more stoppable.鈥)

All fine as far as it goes. But what Waldman misses is the role cash plays in the developing world in government payments鈥攊n salary, pension, and social protection payments. Because of the high cost of moving, guarding, and distributing cash, developing world governments have been shifting to electronic payments and are by reducing the number of ghost workers, pensioners, and social protection beneficiaries. Even better, we can leverage these shifts to increase financial inclusion for the poorest.

Of course, a cashless world would produce all sorts of behavior that鈥檚 hard鈥攐r amusing鈥攖o imagine now. But even a 鈥渃ash-light鈥 world will make corruption more difficult, and in the developing world, that will undoubtedly improve governance and the lives of the poor.

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Jamie Holmes
The Cashless Future