Jane Greenway Carr
Editorial Fellow
The Chinese government announced late last year that鈥攁fter years of deliberation and protest from within and outside China鈥攊t was its controversial 鈥渙ne-child鈥 policy and would allow all couples to have two children. Introduced in 1980 as an effort to bolster economic growth by means of population control, the 鈥渙ne-child鈥 rule was often unevenly applied but harshly enforced by family-planning officials through fines and forced abortions or sterilizations.
The move came after nearly a decade of , amid increasing pressure over not only the policy鈥檚 human-rights abuses but also its social and demographic side-effects鈥攏amely, a rapidly aging population and a precipitous gender gap.
This latter concern, caused in large measure by the the one-child policy鈥檚 most brutal results鈥攕ex-selective abortions and infanticide鈥攊s particularly acute in China, which, despite being the second-largest economy in the world, is also the world鈥檚 steepest gender imbalance. Demographers estimate that Chinese men outnumber Chinese women by about 30 million鈥攔oughly the population of Canada. With the prospect of between 20 and 30 million Chinese men being left unable to find a wife, academics and observers have begun to speculate about the global security impact of these numbers, noting that historically, male-dominated societies with large populations of unmarried men of military age are more likely to adopt aggressive or bellicose foreign policy agendas.
According to One Child: The Story of China鈥檚 Most Radical Experiment, a new book by 麻豆果冻传媒 Fellow Mei Fong which chronicles the advent and end of the one-child policy, China may have relaxed its most controversial mechanism of social control, but addressing or reversing its consequences may not be so simple. 鈥淓ven though China is widening the playpen so to speak鈥 by 鈥渟witching to a two-child policy,鈥 Fong said at a recent event with CNN chief national security correspondent Jim Sciutto, 鈥淲e know already that some of these demographic effects are going to be in place for the next 20 or 30 years.鈥 Pointing as an example to a former furniture factory in Southern China that now has a booming business making sex dolls, Fong put her finger on the cultural impact of the dearth of women. 鈥溾淲e tend to think about China in terms of Aldous Huxley [Brave New World] or George Orwell [1984],鈥 but it is actually more like Margaret Atwood鈥檚 The Handmaid鈥檚 Tale,鈥 Fong said, in that that is the book that features a 鈥渃ountry made infertile by pollution and where women who are fertile become rare commodities.鈥
Fong, a former foreign correspondent for the Wall Street Journal, had been reporting on China throughout much of the 2000s, an experience informed much of the book鈥檚 research and narration. As a journalist, her intent in One Child was to tell the stories鈥斺漛ig picture and little picture鈥濃攐f what she calls the 鈥渞adical experiment鈥 to control China鈥檚 population and engineer its economic destiny. She begins with a jam-packed train to Sichuan in 2008, where she is riding along with a group of farmers who are returning home to seek out their children, thousands of whom had perished in the that had devastated the province.
Many of the children who died in the quake were killed because poorly-built schools collapsed, and the parents they left behind鈥攌nown as 鈥渟hidu鈥 parents鈥攂ecame some of the most vivid characters in Fong鈥檚 book. While covering the earthquake鈥檚 aftermath, she learned that many of the dead were only children. She also discovered that the area near the epicenter 鈥渨as actually a test pilot program for the one-child policy before they took it nationwide in 1980,鈥 and 鈥渨hen the earthquake happened…in some cases it obliterated an entire generation.鈥
鈥淥ne of the stories I did very soon after the earthquake was about how quickly [shidu] parents were rushing to have reverse vasectomies and reverse sterilization processes to have a replacement child,鈥 Fong recalled, describing a grieving father who less than a month after his child died had his vasectomy reversed. Shidu parents face more than crushing emotional losses as well. 鈥淟osing a child in China means…losing economic security. It was also a loss of status,鈥 Fong observed. Neighbors will avoid childless parents, who feel like social hangers-on with no children to take care of them. In addition to social ostracism, they face aging differently. From nursing homes to burial plots, they have trouble accessing end-of-life amenities without children to support or subsidize them.
One Child also tells the stories of those who conceived of and implemented the one-child policy. Among these characters is Song Jian, a specialist in ballistic missiles, who was instrumental in designing the policy and later oversaw the massive Three Gorges Dam on the Yangtze River. Fong also introduces her readers to a former Chinese family planning official who had relocated to the United States. Fong met with her 鈥渏ust after Halloween, and she was telling me how she had just given out candy to all the neighborhood kids. And at the same time this woman was also somebody who was telling me that she was personally responsible for something like 1500 forced abortions, out of which about a third were late-term.鈥 The woman kept telling Fong, 鈥淚 had no choice. I was doing my job. By day I was like a monster but by night I was also a mother. I tried to live my life in a bifurcated way.鈥
Other important figures include economist Liang Zhongtang, described by Fong as 鈥淐hina鈥檚 Cassandra.鈥 He was 鈥渙ne of the few people who spoke out on the record against the one-child policy at its inception.鈥 He warned against the future problems of an aging population and gender imbalances, and while he was largely ignored, he did use his influence to secure a 鈥渟eries of secret two-child experimental zones鈥 in China, which now show much less disparity between their aging and working population and much less gender inequality.
One of Fong鈥檚 central questions in the book and overall is: 鈥淐an you turn on the baby tap in the same way that you could turn it off?鈥 Jim Sciutto noted that during his own time in China, which took place after the government began openly considering abandoning the one-child policy, 鈥溾淵ou heard a lot that parents don鈥檛 want to take advantage of this. They鈥檙e happy with the one-child policy.鈥 Some attribute this attitude to the 鈥渓ittle emperor鈥 phenomenon–鈥攁 generation of only children who are the sole vehicles for their parents鈥 investment of time and resources. Fong pointed to Jenova Chen, a gaming designer for Sony, and , as celebrity examples of little emperors. Ting became a 鈥渘ational moral hero鈥 for his 鈥渇ilial piety鈥 after taking his sick mother to college with him so he could care for her; Chen, though he now lives in the United States, still feels he should only have one child so he can have the available resources to care for his parents as well.
Looking at the national and international picture, Fong rejects a commonly-held view that for all its human-rights problems, the one-child policy facilitated China鈥檚 rise. In her estimation, China鈥檚 economic boom happened because of the lowering of barriers to entrepreneurs, the influx of foreign investment, and 鈥渂ecause of manufacturing. Why was it a good manufacturing hub? Because it had lots of labor. Why did it have lots of labor? Because of this big boom of people that were born in the 60s and 70s, before the one-child policy.鈥 Meanwhile, by 2050 one in four Chinese people will be senior citizens and 鈥溾淐hina鈥檚 economy is already slowing down; they鈥檙e going to have to be more productive with fewer people.鈥
In addition to guiding readers through her exhaustive reporting on the bigger picture – the sociological, cultural, political, and economic factors at play in the one-child policy, Fong also spins out the smaller picture by including the story of her own experiences becoming a parent. After miscarrying while reporting on the earthquake, Fong had IVF in China and is now the mother of twins. While initially nervous about weaving her personal narrative into her book, 鈥淚 think my experiences [in China] helped me understand the issue of this desire for children and what it means when the desire for children is thwarted,鈥 Fong reflected. 鈥淭his is the most intimate story. It鈥檚 not just about policy. It鈥檚 about babies. It鈥檚 about family. It鈥檚 about why we want to be parents and what is the cost involved.鈥