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How the Internet Is Taking Center Stage in Great Power Competition

Internet Great Power Competition
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Even when you鈥檝e uncovered the 鈥済otcha鈥 story, there鈥檚 another truth lurking beneath.

Case in point: Ever since the U.S. intelligence community released its last week, there鈥檚 been a about the assessment鈥檚 conclusion that President Donald Trump is, essentially and unsurprisingly, wrong: ISIS remains a national security threat, Russia has ambitions to influence upcoming U.S. elections, and North Korea has held fast to its nuclear capabilities despite its avowed commitment to denuclearization. These findings are undoubtedly important, and 麻豆果冻传媒 this community are a threat to broader democratic norms.

But the assessment contains another, overlooked finding that also deserves attention: the role of the internet and internet governance in great power competition and the future world order.

Artificial intelligence, quantum, blockchain鈥攑eople (often cavalierly) toss around these buzzwords when they discuss key factors in technological competition. Undoubtedly, the likes of AI and quantum computing are technologies that U.S. policymakers ought to pay more attention to and invest more resources in; they鈥檒l greatly shape state power in the years to come. Still, while it may not sound quite as trendy, the internet is already influencing state power and the future world order鈥攁nd this is something that the strategy rightly points out.

鈥淐hina and Russia are expanding cooperation with each other and through international bodies,鈥 the assessment states, 鈥渢o shape global rules and standards to their benefit and present a counterweight to the United States and other Western countries.鈥 It adds that they鈥檝e increased their influence in these international bodies 鈥渢o gain advantage for their national industries and move toward more state-controlled Internet governance.鈥

Indeed, taking control of the internet for the purposes of censorship, suppression, and surveillance is on the . In particular, states that haven鈥檛 yet decided their stance on how to govern the internet are buying into a model championed by countries like China鈥攃ountries that have for years recognized the importance of the internet for shoring up state power. Hence their actions over the last decade: China and Russia鈥檚 companies surveillance technology to countries with authoritarian leanings or undecided views on the place of technology in society. (Western companies do this, too, but most democratic governments to prevent it.)

By leveraging this surveillance technology to spy on and control citizens, governments can . This usually occurs with governments aligned with powers hostile to the United States, or it occurs with countries undecided on the role of technology in their society, in turn pushing them closer to China鈥檚 model of digital authoritarianism and encouraging practices like internet fragmentation. China and Russia are also active in standards bodies like the Internet Engineering Task Force (IETF) and international organizations like the UN General Assembly, advocating for tight internet control under the veil of 鈥渃ybersecurity.鈥

Why, exactly, does it matter that the intelligence community has underscored the importance of the internet beyond domestic politics?

When the internet is relatively global, open, and secure鈥攆or instance, when you can access a VPN or use end-to-end encrypted messaging鈥攊t鈥檚 a . Industries around the world are interconnected; transactions occur at light speed. Open-source research fuels technology development across borders, and businesses can better connect with consumers. For countries with relatively global economies, this significantly bolsters state power.

On top of that, an internet of this nature is better poised to uphold democracy. It can be a catalyst for information-sharing, enabling checks on governments through practices like microblogging and confidential whistleblowing. It can also enable better democratic mobilization, via the construction of large yet leaderless social movements.

Put another way, a relatively global, open, and secure internet can nourish democratic values鈥攁nd boost democratic power in the process.

The United States and its allies have long championed this vision of the internet, albeit while ignoring some of the tensions within it and struggling with challenges like data privacy. Still, it鈥檚 important that policymakers at the highest levels protect this model as authoritarian elements attempt to chip away at it. There are several initial steps that could pave a path forward.

One, the United States could strengthen its diplomatic engagement with international organizations like the U.N. General Assembly on matters of standard- and norm-setting around the internet. As mentioned above, China, especially, has already increased its involvement in these capacities. As the State Department stands up a new cybersecurity bureau, this ought to be a priority. Relatedly, the United States would be wise to create a cohesive narrative around internet governance. Authoritarians like China have a clear message: The internet is insecure and leads to security issues, and so the government needs to tightly control it. Without exercising undue power over the internet within its borders, the United States needs a similarly compelling narrative that internet openness with internet security.

Two, U.S. policymakers ought to engage with the 50 countries that haven鈥檛 yet decided on the role of the internet within their borders, prioritizing large democratic countries like India that hold over democratic norms toward the internet and tech companies. Also critical on the United States鈥 part is taking care to educate other countries鈥 diplomats on cyber issues when they don鈥檛 have the resources to do so themselves.

And finally, it鈥檚 critical that the White House reinstitute the Federal Communication Commission鈥檚 net neutrality protections. For a country that touts the value of an open internet, the United States鈥 of these protections rings of , and countries like China are happy to capitalize on that point of tension, since it justifies the narrative that limiting a global and open internet鈥攖ightly controlling it and bringing it in line with digital authoritarianism鈥攊s necessary because, look, not even the United States stands by internet openness.

The internet鈥攑articularly its architecture and governance鈥攊s a major factor in state power and an important element of this era of great power competition, especially between the United States and China. There may be other, 鈥渇lashier鈥 technologies out there, sure, but in preparing for great power competition, let鈥檚 not forget what already enables cyber attacks, online commerce, and global connectedness in the broadest sense each and every day.

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Justin Sherman
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How the Internet Is Taking Center Stage in Great Power Competition